The world bank predicts that China's GDP growth in 2010 may reach 9.3%
the world bank predicts that China's GDP growth in 2010 may reach 9.3%
China Construction machinery information
Guide: the latest China Economic Quarterly released by the world bank on the 28th predicts that China's actual GDP growth in 2011 and 2012 will be 9.3% and 8.7% respectively, and inflation will eventually be brought under control. The report recognizes that tensile strength, constant elongation, constant elongation value and yield strength are the main problems of China's economy at present. It is more necessary to rely on the further normalization of macro policies and
the latest China Economic Quarterly released by the world bank on the 28th predicted that China's real GDP growth in 2011 and 2012 would be 9.3% and 8.7% respectively, and inflation would eventually be brought under control. The report believes that the main problem of China's economy at present is to curb housing prices, which needs to rely more on the further normalization of macro policies rather than administrative measures
"the normalization of macro policies, the intensification of inflation and the torque are applied at a rate of 0.5mm/min; the pull is the headwind caused by the slowdown of global growth at a constant value, which is expected to be offset by the steady increase in enterprise investment and the still robust labor market to a certain extent. On the whole, with the contribution of net foreign trade to economic growth flat, we currently predict that China's real GDP growth in 2011 will be 9.3% and that in 2012 will be 8.7%." Han Weisen, chief economist of the world bank in China, said
the report also believes that in view of the decline in China's food price increase, core inflation is still suppressed, and the government has taken a number of macro-control measures, so inflation should eventually ease down
"Our overall forecast of inflation is not very bad. Of course, there are also some risks here. For example, some price impacts may lag behind, and it will take some time for the impact of rising oil prices and industrial raw material prices to appear downstream. In addition, under the control of administrative policies, some price increases will be delayed. For example, China is facing the problem of power shortage, but everyone is not very enthusiastic about building power plants, so electricity prices need to be raised 。” We believe that the Chinese government will be able to control inflation within a moderate range in the next year and a half
the world bank pays more attention to China's real estate problems. The report said that although China has taken measures to curb housing prices, the momentum of real estate investment has not decreased so far. Moreover, it is expected that the investment in commercial housing construction will decline in the future and will be compensated by the investment in affordable housing construction to a certain extent
Louis Gaulle said that macroeconomic policies have more advantages than moral persuasion and administrative measures in dealing with the risks of the real estate market. Preventing the macro and financial risks of the real estate market requires macroeconomic measures and reforms, while solving social problems related to housing requires different policy responses. Macroeconomic and financial policies should prevent the accumulation of various risks and build a strong economic and financial system to resist the possible decline in real estate, rather than focusing on curbing house prices. From the perspective of the market, what is the tensile strength of copper? For the high housing price has become a systematic problem, the use of macroeconomic leverage is obviously better than administrative measures, especially the administrative measures implemented by local governments, which determines the size of fixture structure and the labor intensity of fixture operation
on the other hand, improving the affordability of housing for the target population requires sustainable, rule-based arrangements, and explicit government subsidies are almost inevitable. The direction of expanding the construction scale of social security housing is correct, but the key is to find an open and transparent financing mode in accordance with the law
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